Ukraine's Counter-Offensive in Conflict with Russia Stalls

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The evidence suggests that Ukraine's counter-offensive has stopped short of its goal, leading to a military stalemate. The coming year will be difficult for Ukraine as the winter slows offensives and intensifies long-range strikes.

Assess that the conflict is a stalemate,” insisted Jake Sullivan, America’s national security adviser, in late August 2023. Ukraine , he said, was taking territory “on a methodical, systematic basis”. Alas, the evidence now suggests that Ukraine ’s counter-offensive has stopped well short of its stated minimum goal, and that the war may indeed have entered a period of military stalemate . The coming year will be a difficult, dangerous period for Ukraine .

Its counter-offensive, which began in June, made modest progress on the flanks of Bakhmut, an eastern town that Russia had captured in May, and in the south, in Zaporizhia province. A combination of weary units, limited ammunition and wet weather will slow offensives during the winter, though some small-unit infantry attacks will continue. The winter is likely to see a new and intense campaign of long-range strikes from both sides. Russia has been stockpiling missiles and is likely to attack Ukraine’s power grid again

Ukraine Russia Conflict Counter-Offensive Military Stalemate Winter Long-Range Strikes

 

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