After years of punishing economic coercion and the diplomatic cold shoulder, Australia-China relations are entering a new spring. China’s, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese will want to emphasise the upside in the Australia-China relationship during his Beijing visit next week.
Short of a hardline isolationist in the White House, the United States would likely come to Taiwan’s aid. President Joe Biden’s repeatedIn the wake of an expanded US military presence at Australian bases and the AUKUS deal to furnish Australia with nuclear-powered submarines, the pressure on Canberra to join a US effort to repel a Chinese invasion would be titanic.
With China accounting for nearly 28 per cent of Australia’s total export earnings in 2022, the economic aftershocks would be devastating. It would also likely mean shortages of all manner of Chinese-made goods that currently fill nearly every shop and home in Australia. Australia’s acquisition of nuclear-powered submarines will likely help deter China. With their phenomenal speed, stealth, and endurance, these submarines could be used to signal to President Xi the added dangers of seeking to seize Taiwan by force.
Hard though it might be, Australia should start thinking about other tools that might be used to contribute to US-led efforts to deter China.
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