US in a ‘forest fire’, not a second wave: Experts’ warning as coronavirus cases spike

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US in a 'forest fire', not a second wave, experts warn as coronavirus cases spike

But there is at least one point of agreement – scientists generally agree the nation is still in its first wave of coronavirus infections, albeit one that's dipping in some parts of the country while rising in others.

Dr Michael Osterholm, a prominent epidemiologist in US, warned on Sunday that the country was likely to experience one long wave."I'm actually of the mind right now: I think this is more like a forest fire," Osterholm told NBC’s"I don't think this is going to slow down. I'm not sure the influenza analogy applies anymore. I think that wherever there's wood to burn, this fire is going to burn it.

There was an initial infection peak in April as cases exploded in New York City. After schools and businesses were closed across the country, the rate of new cases dropped somewhat.

Some worry a large wave of coronavirus might occur this autumn or winter - after schools reopen, the weather turns colder and less humid, and people huddle inside more. That would follow seasonal patterns seen with flu and other respiratory viruses. And such a fall wave could be very bad, given that there's no vaccine or experts think most Americans haven't had the virus.

 

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Well on the way to the predicted 200,000 deaths

Ffs, the modelling predicted a best-case scenario of 50,000 Australian deaths and there's been 104; nearly half attributable to one nursing home and one boat. Get a grip.

“Flattening the curve” delays the inevitable. More testing will reveal the actual death rates. That and rate of “excess deaths “. Then there are the deaths being caused by the shutdowns. I think everyone is flying blind.

Daniel Andrews is an idiot: Says Liberal MP Tim Smith “This is the bloke that let 10,000 people protest in the centre of Melbourne and he doesn’t think that there’s a connection that two weeks later we get a massive spike in coronavirus cases? “I mean, heavens above!

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