Fourth wave severity depends on if there is a new variant, Salim Abdool Karim says

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He says the fourth Covid-19 wave will arrive three months after the third wave ended — about November

Prof Salim Abdool Karim, former head of the ministerial advisory committee on Covid-19. File picture: JACKIE CLAUSEN.

Speaking on Algoa FM this week, Abdool Karim warned the pandemic was “not done with us” and predicted that a new wave of infections was approaching. According to Abdool Karim, the fourth Covid-19 would arrive three months after the third wave came to an end.“What’s critical [about the possible wave] is whether we get a new variant, because a new variant will determine whether we have a severe fourth wave or just a mild one,” said Abdool Karim.

“If we had more vaccinations we wouldn’t be as worried, but the rate of vaccination we have so far … we are not at 50% with regards to the single doses. Here in Gauteng, we are at 32% single doses for both Johnson & Johnson and Pfizer. We would be happier if we were at least 60%,” said Makhura. that SA would not be able to stop a fourth wave, because “you have to have a very high level of vaccination to stop it”.

 

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