What June 1 AL West Standings Predict For Seattle Mariners, Texas Rangers, Astros

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History tells us that teams leading their division on June 1 have won the division nearly 60% of the time since 1996. With a wild card unlikely for the AL West, winning the division is imperative.

What's the significance of this? History tells us that teams leading their division on June 1 win their division nearly 60% of the time,Since 1996, 95 of 162 division champions held at least a share of first place on June 1.

A year ago on June 1, the Rangers had a three-game lead in the AL West with a 35-20 record. Of course, you'll remember the Rangers didn't actually win the division. They finished tied with the Houston Astros, who won the division because of a head-to-head tiebreaker.earned a wild card spot and beat the Astros 4-3 in the ALCS en route to their first World Series championship.

But they way things have gone the first two months, the AL West is unlikely to earn a wild card in the 2024 postseason. Seven teams currently sit above the Rangers and Astros, who are 6.5 games back in the West, in the wild card standings. In 2023, four of the six divisions were won by a team leading their division on June 1. The Rays and Rangers are the two that didn't and both earned wild card spots.Also, 15 of the 27 World Series champions since 1996 led their division on June 1. The Rangers aren't the only defending World Series champion to trail their division lead the following season. In fact, it's quite common.

 

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