We're one-third of the way to a widely available coronavirus vaccine, experts say

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USA TODAY created a panel of nationally known experts to estimate how far we are from when a COVID-19 vaccine will be available to all Americans.

A vaccine to protect against the coronavirus will be many things wrapped up in a small vial: a harbinger of a return to normalcy, a scientific feat for the ages and, depending on when it arrives, a politically potent symbol.

Pharmaceutical giant AstraZeneca pledged to have at least 300 million doses for the USA delivered as early as October – probably even before a vaccine is approved. The USA TODAY vaccine panel is designed to offer readers an objective, nonpartisan understanding of how close we are to getting an effective vaccine distributed to the nation’s residents. We’re about a third of the way there, they said.

The challenge isn't just to create a safe and effective vaccine – more than 11 possible candidates will be in human testing this summer. But for a vaccine to end up in a pharmacy or doctor's office near you, companies will have to produce hundreds of millions of doses, then deliver them across the country and eventually the world.

In a historic and global effort, the basic science behind dozens of vaccine development efforts has mostly been finished in the six months since the virus first appeared. Many of the vaccines in the pipeline rely on new technologies whose underlying science is understood, although the actual techniques are being worked out.

Though the world clamors for a vaccine as quickly as possible, there can be no shortchanging safety for economic or political interests, said Dr. Gregory Poland, director of the Mayo Vaccine Research Group and editor-in-chief of the journal Vaccine.“The Food and Drug Administration needs to demonstrate that it will not kowtow to political pressures and will do all the due diligence, safety testing and review necessary,” Poland said.

 

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