We’re Losing Track of COVID—and It’s Going to Bite Us in the Ass

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'There’s one way to track SARS-CoV-2 without relying on drive-through testing sites or testing at pharmacies, clinics or hospitals. More and more, scientists are looking for the virus in sewer water. In our toilet flushes, in other words,' writes daxe

evolve faster and faster. At the same time, individual testing is goingThat might seem like a dangerous combination. If authorities can’t accurately keep tabs on where and how fast the virus is spread, they might not be able to help protect vulnerable communities.without relying on drive-through testing sites or testing at pharmacies, clinics or hospitals. More and more, scientists are looking for the virus in sewer water. In our toilet flushes, in other words.

Thanks to vaccines and lingering antibodies from past infection, these surges are nowhere near as bad—or as deadly—as previous surges. Amid an overall global decline in COVID, the USA saw an uptick in infections, from a year-low ofin late March and early April to 85,000 daily new cases last week. South Africa meanwhile saw daily new cases rise from 1,300 to 7,700 over the same period.

There’s one very good reason for this drop. At-home tests are now cheap, reliable and readily available. The administration of U.S. President Joe Biden even providesWhen you test at home, there’s no obligation to report your results to the authorities. It’s possible millions of people all over the world are catching COVID, testing for it, self-isolating and recovering–all without their government knowing it.

European countries, Australia, and countries across Asia have ramped up their own wastewater monitoring, too. A global surveillance system, one that doesn’t depend on voluntary individual testing, is taking shape.It’s not perfect, of course.

For more than two years, almost no one in China caught COVID, meaning almost no one in China had natural antibodies when the extremely contagious Omicron variant and its subvariants showed up—and punched right through citywide lockdowns in Hong Kong, Shenzhen, and elsewhere. It didn’t help that the Chinese government has pushed locally made vaccines that might not be as effective as the best Western-made messenger-RNA jabs.

 

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