The Eagles generated the fourth-worst pressure rate vs. the Lions last week and, considering the matchup, that has to be a big disappointment for Nick Sirianni’s team. Compounding these issues is EDGE rusher Derek Barnett, who tore his ACL in that game. The Eagles could find getting to Kirk Cousins difficult Monday night, which is great news for the Minnesota passing game.
Cousins finished fourth in the league in EPA/att with no pressure last season and took just one sack vs. a Green Bay pass rush that many rank as a Top-5 unit. Cousins could be picking apart this secondary that also allowed a league-high 70% completion rating a season ago. The Eagles allowed the fewest explosive pass plays in 2021 as they take away the deep ball and give up the short-yardage stuff, which is why they allowed such a high completion percentage. Cousins will be forced to look underneath as the Eagles keep everything in front of them, which will allow Cousins to make easier and shorter completions. In 2020, Cousins was the No. 1 QB in “lay-up” throws with a 0.32 EPA/att.
With sharp money hitting this Over early in the week, I’m expecting plenty of two-way scoring that will keep the Vikes and Cousins aggressive. I’m looking for the Minnesota QB to take what the defense gives him and have an efficient day with Over 24.5 completions. This is the same number his completion total closed last week vs. arguably the
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