The new math of saving for retirement may come down to this one, absurdly simple rule

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A analysis of tens of millions of 401(k) outcomes found this is the optimum amount to save for retirement:

“Eventually, I’ll stop working.” Most of us think that and know it will happen, but millions of us worry whether we’re saving enough to live on once we do. We want to know: How much of my earnings should I set aside? What’s the magic number? 3%? 5%? 10%? More?Unfortunately, the retirement industry has spent decades largely avoiding the magic-number question. “There’s no magic number for everyone,” some say. “It’s complicated,” say others.

Save 10% — now Between you and your employer, set aside at least 10% of your paycheck. If your employer contributes 3%, then your share is at least 7%. If the company kicks in 5%, then you save at least 5%. If your employer does nothing, set aside at least 10% of each paycheck on your own. And our capacity to lay the groundwork for retirement can feel pinched from all directions. Life can be expensive even in our earning years, with college tuition, housing and medical costs in the stratosphere. Student loans and credit-card debt intrude. Social Security, we’re told, is at risk. Lifetime pensions are, for most, a thing of the mythical past.

Modeling for millennials How can EBRI’s model help? It estimates the risk of running out of money after retirement by taking into account many more factors than the usual online calculator: contributions, market changes, Social Security benefits and salary growth, as well as a range of health outcomes and longevity prospects.

Are they contributing enough, too much or too little? Here’s how, based on EBRI’s model, our millennials and their different savings practices would end up at retirement:

 

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What assumed forward ROR was used? What allocation/glidepath? Suggesting IF you start at 25 & IF you contribute 10% then you still have 30% chance to run out of money, with great margin of error, promotes financial advice rather than sway against it using a rule of thumb.

It is simplier then 10%. You save as much as u can, u avoid having to have every gadget and adult toy available, and u only buy the shelter u need. This is not rocket science. For several years after I started my first job, I saved every other paycheck.

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