— that passing the bipartisan bill would sap the will of moderate Democrats to pass a larger reconciliation package:
“It’ll be awful hard to get those moderate Democrats to be for that,” Thune said. “The stars are kind of lining up for an infrastructure bill. And if you do do something bipartisan on that, then I think doing something partisan on reconciliation — in some ways, with certain Democrats — it gets a lot harder.”
So there are now four likely outcomes to these negotiations: 1) The talks result in a bipartisan deal that passes with Democrats' support; a reconciliation bill filled with progressive priorities then passes with all Democratic votes. 2) The talks collapse; Democrats move forward with a reconciliation bill negotiated only among themselves. 3) A bipartisan deal passes; the reconciliation bill is trimmed considerably to win moderate votes.
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