In Hesse, the conservative Christian Democrats looked set to take 35.5% of the vote compared to 16% for Scholz's Social Democrats, dealing a personal blow to Interior Minister Nancy Faeser who ran as the SPD's lead candidate in the state.
In Bavaria, CDU's sister party, the Christian Social Union looked set to take 37% of the vote - its worst result since 1950 albeit likely enough to continue its coalition with the populist Free Voters on 14%. The SPD, which is traditionally weak in Bavaria, trailed with 8.5% of the vote. The two junior partners in Scholz's coalition, the Greens and the Free Democrats , did worse than in the 2018 elections in the two states - with the FDP on track to fall out of the parliament in Bavaria.
Meanwhile the far-right Alternative for Germany made gains, rising to 16% in Hesse and 15% in Bavaria compared to 13.1% and 11.6% respectively in 2018.German Chancellor Olaf Scholz warned on Sunday against violence spreading like wildfire "with incalculable consequences for the whole region" following the biggest attack on Israel in years by Palestinian Islamist group Hamas.
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