I still want to view Gold as bearish given this collection of factors but the fact of the matter is that this has been showing for some time already and, at this point, bears haven’t been able to force any meaningful breaks. The surge in treasury yields this week was particularly significant but Gold prices didn’t show much for bearish reaction to that theme.
When something like this shows up, when the backdrop is seemingly bearish but price action is not matching, that usually means that something else is going on and I’m not entirely sure what it is. This may have something to do with risk aversion themes as there’s a number of other peculiarities showing but, I don’t have any evidence of that yet so I have to rely on the simple deduction that something is amiss.
At this point there’s not yet enough bullish indication to institute a bullish technical forecast; however that could be around the corner depending on how gold prices behave over the next couple of weeks. But, perhaps more important than time here is price, with the zone from 1962 to 1967 taking on some importance as this represents the recent range high. A breach of that zone opens the door for another run at the 2k level.
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