The first human space mission to the Asteroid Belt could take place within 50 years, say rocket engineers, provided humans reach Mars by 2038. Their prediction is based on an economic analysis of the rate at which space budgets increase over time and how humans have increased their sphere of operations since the dawn of the space age.
They began by studying how NASA’s budget has increased since it formed in 1958. There have been several peaks in this curve, corresponding to significant increases in spending. The final factor the team use is the effective radius of human activity beyond Earth. This increased rapidly at the dawn of the space age from low Earth orbit to the first successful moon landing at a distance of 0.0026 Astronomical Units.
Taking all these trends into account allows the team to produce a model that predicts when human missions to distant parts of the Solar System will take place. This model earmarks 2073 for a crewed Asteroid Belt mission, 2103 for humans to visit Jupiter and its satellites as well as 2132 for a mission to Saturn.“The results thus far suggest the worlds of our Solar System, throughout human history merely specs of light in the night sky, will soon be within our grasp,” say the team.
All things considered that is HILARIOUSLY optimistic.
really? even if planet earth is a hellscape due to ClimateEmergency
Not me I’ll be dead by then.
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