Covid Cases Will Remain High Until Summer In Current Hotspot Of New Jersey

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NJ Covid surge unlikely to abate until the summer, say predictive models

released by the state found both Covid-19 cases and hospitalizations will peak on April 18 with 5,445 daily cases.

New daily cases will not drop below 3,000 until mid-June, the model projects, and the state will still record more than 2,000 daily cases even at the end of July. The model takes into account past trends seen after holidays and an increase in indoor activities, as well as increased vaccinations, assuming 70% of residents will be vaccinated by June 1 and the shots will be 95% effective against coronavirus variants.found the state would peak at approximately 8,000 daily cases in both mid-May and mid-June, and would still be recording more than 6,000 cases per day by the end of July.

That model assumes a higher rate of hospitalizations than in the past, that people will “lower their guard” and have more social gatherings, and that vaccines are only 65% effective against variants, with 70% of residents vaccinated by June 15.New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy noted Wednesday the predictive models vary day by day and are likely to change with the state’s Covid-19 situation, particularly as people either take increased or fewer public health precautions.

Wednesday. Experts projected the city would likely continue to record approximately 4,000 daily cases through at least mid-May, despite rising vaccination rates.32.7%. That’s the percentage of New Jersey residents that have received at least one Covid-19 vaccine dose as of Wednesday,

 

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