Atlantic Hurricane Season Update: It Won't Stay Quiet for Long, But It Won't Be as Active as 2020 | The Weather Channel - Articles from The Weather Channel | weather.com

One of the ingredients that meteorologists analyze going into the hurricane season is the water temperature of the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico.in the subtropics near Bermuda and off parts of the East Coast. Sea-surface temperatures in much of the Gulf of Mexico are close to average.

An above average number of tropical storms and hurricanes is more likely if temperatures in the main development region between Africa and the Caribbean Sea are warmer than average. Conversely, below-average ocean temperatures can lead to fewer tropical systems than if waters were warmer. Hurricanes need a rather precise set of ingredients to come together in order for them to fester, so all of these ingredients will need to be monitored this year.El Niño/La Niña, the periodic warming/cooling of the equatorial eastern and central Pacific Ocean, can shift weather patterns and influence winds in the Atlantic Basin during hurricane season.NOAA's Climate Prediction Center

Such was the case in 2020 when La Niña intensified to become the strongest in 10 years. This was one factor behind a recordBut while the La Niña has fizzled for now, its influence on the atmosphere is likely to remain in place for hurricane season. Despite the record 2020 season, there isn't necessarily a strong correlation between the number of storms or hurricanes and U.S. landfalls in any given season. One or more of the named storms predicted to develop this season could hit the U.S., or none at all.The 1992 season produced only six named storms and one subtropical storm. However, one of those named storms was Hurricane Andrew, which devastated South Florida as a Category 5 hurricane.

That's a bit of good news

That would be good news if we could truthfully rely on it! We all know that nature is unpredictable. My HurricaneSeason2021 prepping is not a waste of my time nor my $. I purchase during low season because if News says Hurricane you will find nothing within hrs! PuertoRico

But what about cLiMaTe ChAnGe?!

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