Aggravated assaults are rising, driven by gun violence across California, researchers say

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Fully piecing together what led to the trend will take several years, say those who study crime.

Custom made holsters on display at the Lindahl Holsters’ booth during the Crossroads of the West Gun Show in Costa Mesa, CA, on Friday, Jan. 19, 2024. Researchers across California are concerned as aggravated assaults continue to rise, driven by what they say is an increase in crimes involving guns.

From 2016 to 2021, 49% of all fatal and non-fatal gunshot injuries stemmed from assaults. The rest were the result of suicide, unintentional shootings, intentional self-harm, legal intervention or military operations, or undetermined causes. Southern California also produced some of the most “crime guns” — guns found to be used in a crime — in the entire state. In Los Angeles County, over 140,000 crime guns were recovered. Over 50,000 crime guns were recovered in Riverside and San Bernardino counties combined.

“Part of the challenge as a researcher right now is that I can’t give good national aggravated assault data,” said Samuel Peterson, a criminal justice researcher with the RAND Center, a nonprofit nonpartisan research group. “We’re kind of flying blind right now.”

 

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