About 3.4 million people in England have been infected with Covid-19, a figure far higher than previous estimates, a study suggests.
Useless information until we find out how many people have t-cell immunity.
BorisTheButcher So, the UK needs 60% to reach HerdImmunity, so 10 times as many infections required and 10 times as many deaths ? But 6% is likely to be a gross over estimate, so you can probably double the number of future deaths above.
60,000 deaths = 2% fatality rate. Unchecked transmission of COVID would mean 1 million deaths in the UK. Like a plane crash, every second, for a whole day. All of this was obvious by 10 March. Yet they resisted lockdown for 2 weeks and thought “herd immunity” was desirable.
How many are sick?
Not enough for herd immunity, but sufficient to have a small impact on transmission rates, according to SIR type models.
If not more.
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