'PM would lose his seat!' Bexley by-election swing could boot Boris Johnson out of power

'PM would lose his seat!' Bexley by-election swing could boot Boris Johnson out of power

Boris Johnson, Bexley

12/3/2021 7:45:00 AM

'PM would lose his seat!' Bexley by-election swing could boot Boris Johnson out of power

PRESSURE is mounting on the Prime Minister after a political expert warned the swing in Old Bexley & Sidcup could see Boris Johnson lose his seat if emulated at the next general election.

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More infoBoris Johnson, 57, has a majority in his seat of Uxbridge & South Ruislip smaller than any other recent Prime Minister. When Mr Johnson led the Conservative Party to a thumping Brexit-backed majority in 2019, he only returned to the Commons with a majority of 7,210 votes.

Related articlesBrexit voting BBC staff scared into silence warns peerThis was much smaller than many of his Cabinet colleagues.Chancellor Rishi Sunak, 41, has a majority in Richmond (Yorkshire) of 27,210, Home Secretary Priti Patel, registered a 24,082-vote lead over Labour in Witham and Foreign Secretary Liz Truss, 46, was returned as the MP for South West Norfolk with a majority of 26,195. headtopics.com

But yesterday's by-election in Old Bexley & Sidcup threatens to put the Prime Minister in an even more precarious position when voters go to the polls at the next general election.The Bexley poll, which was triggered following the death of Conservative MP James Brokenshire in October, saw Tory candidate Louie French come out on top.

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Mr French, a local councillor, won the race to succeed the ex-Northern Ireland Secretary but saw his vote share collapse by 13 percent compared to his predecessor.JUST IN: (Image: Getty)Boris Johnson has a 7,210-vote majority in Uxbridge & South Ruislip

(Image: Getty)Labour finished in second place after mounting a seven point surge to take them to 30.9 percent.Reform UK leader Richard Tice, 57, ended up in third with a respectable 6.6 percent.However, he finished well short of UKIP's 18.2 percent when they were led by Nigel Farage, also 57, in 2015.

Polling experts suggest if the 10 percent swing towards Labour was emulated at the ballot box in a national election, Mr Johnson could lose his west London seat to Sir Keir Starmer's Labour Party.Speaking about how the Bexley result could impact Mr Johnson, Professor Michael Thrasher told Sky News:"If this had been a general election then they [Labour] would have done far better than they had done in 2019, the Conservatives would have lost their overall majority, the Prime Minister would have lost his seat, given the size of the swing." headtopics.com

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READ MORE: Chancellor Rishi Sunak, 41, has a majority in Richmond (Yorkshire) of 27,210(Image: Getty)Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer (right) with his predecessor Jeremy Corbyn (left)(Image: Getty)Labour's Shadow Solicitor-General Ellie Reeves, 40, told her followers on Twitter:"A fantastic 10.3% swing to Labour in the Conservative heartland of Old Bexley and Sidcup.

The MP for Lewisham and Penge added:"If replicated at a general election Labour would be within reach of forming a majority government."If Mr Johnson lost in Uxbridge & South Ruislip he would make electoral history as no incumbent Prime Minister has been ousted from their own seat in a general election.

Ex-Tory leader Arthur Balfour was among the closest when he lost his Manchester constituency less than a year after he resigned from the top job before the 1906 general election.Voters could also expect another 'Portillo moment' in Esher & Walton based on current polling figures.

Read more: Daily Express »

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Old Bexley and Sidcup by-election: Conservatives hold Old Bexley and SidcupThe south-east London by-election was prompted by the death of former MP James Brokenshire. Whilst I understand this was the predicted result and the majority was drastically cut from their previous election win, at which point does enough become enough with the voting public? Like, how many more lies and corruption is needed before they vote them out? Stockholm Syndrome நாங்க வேற லெவல்

The Tory win in Old Bexley and Sidcup is one Johnson cannot take for grantedAnalysis: poor turnout suggests Conservative s had trouble mobilising their voters as disaffected supporters criticised PM’s leadership skills He quite clearly can

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Macron privately called Boris Johnson a ‘clown’, says French magazineReport follows French president’s complaint about PM’s behaviour after they discussed sinking of refugee boat in the Channel Only privately? In the UK we say it publicly. He’s not that good macca I was expecting Macron to be a bit more creative than that. ShapeShiftingCreep