Lancet Commission predicts sharp increase in global prostate cancer cases

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Cases of prostate cancer are projected to double from 1.4 million per year in 2020 to 2.

Apr 4 2024The Lancet 9 million per year by 2040, with low- and middle-income countries predicted to see the highest increases in cases, according to The Lancet Commission on prostate cancer which will be launched by a presentation at the European Association of Urology Congress.

Aging populations and increasing life expectancy will lead to higher numbers of older men in coming years. As the main risk factors for prostate cancer – such as being aged 50 or older and having a family history of the disease – are unavoidable, it will not be possible to prevent the upcoming surge in cases through lifestyle changes or public health interventions.

The effectiveness of population-level PSA testing has not been tested in LMICs and there is an urgent need for cancer screening trials in these countries. New approaches to enable earlier diagnosis in LMICs are vital, as most men in these countries present with metastatic cancer – an advanced form of disease where the cancer has spread to other parts of the body, often the bones.

Improving education about the disease is critical, and the Commission authors suggest that programs should involve new technologies and channels such as smartphones, social media, and influencers. They highlight Project PINK BLUE, an organization that delivers a range of programs to raise awareness of breast, cervical, and prostate cancer in Nigeria, and provides free cancer screening.

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