Hollinger's Panic Meter: Rating Warriors, Lakers, Heat and other struggling hopefuls

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How worried should a contending-hopeful team be about its play thus far? johnhollinger introduces his NBA Panic Meter. The scale goes from 1.0 at the low end (2016-17 Warriors) to 10.0 at the maximum (2012-13 Lakers).

last season, so the fact they’re 8-7 while hardly having Leonard this season isn’t a big shock. The part that is a bit more perplexing is the phraseHe tore his ACL 17 months ago but has only played 42 minutes this season. He’s also out indefinitely doing whatever it is he does with his own shadow training staff while the Clippers wait and wonder if and when he’s coming back.

Meanwhile, the Clippers muddle along. They have the league’s 29th-ranked offense and a negative scoring margin, and five of their eight wins are against the Lakers and . If Leonard doesn’t come back , they’ll have to hustle just to make the Play-In, but the Clips can still achieve a top-four seed if they get 45 games from Leonard.The Heat have mostly been healthy and, more important, have played a league-high 10 home games. For a team that was a front-rimmed3 away from the finals, this extremely average start is miles short of expectations.

The problem is that their opponents keep making shots. The Heat surrender a ton of 3s by design, but a more vexing issue is the 55.6 percent opponent mark inside the arc. That ranks seventh worst in the league, and most of the damage is close to the basket . Miami also doesn’t have many contractual outs to fix the roster, with future picks already committed and the team already a few million over the tax line. If anything, the Heat may need to cut money.

We’ve all learned not to doubt his organization, but it’s hard to conjure reasons to believe in a return to the conference finals.The whole idea of the Warriors’ “two-tracks” leaned heavily on the idea that at least one of their three recent lottery picks could turn into their version of Kawhi Leonard in San Antonio. With

 

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