COVID-19: UK's R number drops sharply to between 0.8 and 1 - suggesting lockdown is slowing spread of virus

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The coronavirus R number in the UK has dropped since last week, suggesting the lockdown has halted its spread

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The SAGE committee, which advises the government on science, estimates that the reproduction number is between 0.8 and 1.0 - a range because it is based on several different models.The epidemic is not shrinking fast, despite lockdown.We get a lot of data every week, sometimes conflicting. But the R number is fairly consistent with the ONS stats.

The ONS also pointed to a fall in infections in these regions. They went into Tier 4 first and cases had begun to level off even before the country went into lockdown.

 

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