A new era of women's basketball: Why this year's upsets are a sign of things to come

was 41st in average height, but 357th in OR%. The overall correlation between average height and the rate at which teams grab their own missed shots was just 0.04, essentially none at all!Could the numbers be a bit different in women’s basketball? Sure, and finding out what they are is another reason why we need to keep pushing for better data. But come on.

Meanwhile, the Hawkeyes kept threatening and shooting threes even though the Gamecocks were allowingto get to the rim again and again and were a perfect 14-14 on foul shots. And it’s gone mostly unappreciated so far, but Iowa constantly disrupted South Carolina’s passing lanes, hassling the Gamecocks into 15 turnovers.

All of which means the formula for toppling a Goliath, even one as dominant as South Carolina, is similar to what we have found in the men’s game. Maximize the quantity and value of your possessions; force turnovers and open up your shooting. And pounce on any signs of overdog complacency. After overcoming first-quarter deficits to Maryland and Iowa, it was natural for the Gamecocks to believe they could impose their will on the second half of their game against the Hawkeyes.

Statistically, Iowa’s upset of South Carolina is a classic case of what can happen when a giant plays at the bottom of its range and a killer is at the very top of its game. There’s a lesson there, too: These teams’ Bell curves did overlap. Whether the Hawkeyes’ chances of winning were 7% or 17%, they weren’t 1% or 2%. It’s a little crazy to consider, but that’s where women’s basketball underdog chances resided not too long ago.

PeterKeatingNJ SRyanAthletic when you finally start to let the women share in the phrase MarchMadness, you start to see the madness

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