Study suggests ‘curve has not yet flattened,’ predicts COVID-19 cases in NCR, Cebu to increase by the end of June

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The number of coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) cases in the Philippines might reach 40,000 by end of June, based on the latest study and forecast of a team from the University of the Philippines (UP).

This is among the findings of a team composed of Dr. David Guido of the UP Institute of Mathematics, Professor Ranjit Rye of the Department of Political Science, and Ma. Patricia Agbulos of Octa Research.

“Using the current value of R nought, based on the current number of cases in the Philippines and assuming the trends continue, this projects to a total of 40,000 COVID-19 cases by June 30, with 1,850 deaths,” according to the study.

 

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Can hardly wait for the rebuttal and/or comment of Mr. Duque and company regarding this. They've been saying that the Philippines has been flattening the curve way way back.

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