UP researchers forecast 40,000 COVID-19 cases by June 30

— COVID-19 infections in the Philippines may reach 40,000 by June 30 under the current situation, according to a forecast by the University of the Philippines OCTA Research Team.

[Translation: We assumed that the R naught remains at 1.2. The R naught is already going down. In the National Capital Region, the R naught is less than 1. If we project that, there will be less cases.]“Nag-stabilize ‘yung weight of infection," David pointed out."Although may infection pa rin, hindi na siya kasing dami. Sa spike kasi, ‘yun din ang nag-cause nitong pagtaas ng R naught.”

While the actual testing capacity has increased to 10,000 daily as of Tuesday, Rye said the ideal number of tests conducted daily should be at least 15,000.David and Rye emphasized that the government also needs to monitor provinces where there is a spike in the number of infections, such as Cebu. [Translation: Maybe that’s why we haven’t seen most of the asymptomatic patients because they still roam around. We don’t get to test them. We don’t know who is spreading the virus … That’s why people ask why the pandemic is still spreading when we are under quarantine. Asymptomatic patients still have mobility, and presumably they are spreading it.]

[Translation: We have reached that point in our capacity that we can accommodate more high risk individuals with or without symptoms.]

Hello DepEd_PH

treatortrixie Maybe we’re there already with the lack of testing etc.

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