Unloved but unchallenged, Sunak appears safe – because only a fool would want his job now

After the local elections, the PM has a broken party and an unenviable destiny. He is now the fall guy for the Tory wipeout to comeow to react to unfolding calamity? Tory MPs took different approaches. “Disastrous. Worse than I expected and pointing to a total wipeout.” That’s how one Conservative MP – and not one of the disaffected usual suspects – summed up the local election results to me as the gloom deepened on Saturday. Others preferred to focus on how football teams were doing.

Such a process, at a time when the electorate expects the government to be focused on the nation’s problems, would probably be a self-indulgence too far for the shrinking pool of voters currently still minded to vote Conservative at the next election.

Then there’s Reform UK. We have been spared, at least, the panic that might have resulted had it actually beaten the Conservatives into second place in Blackpool South., and where it stood candidates the Tories palpably suffered for it, a grim preview of the role it could play at the general election.

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