Only four in 10 Tory voters from 2019 back Sunak

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Opinium’s latest research for Observer finds voters deserting the Conservatives for Reform and Labour in equal numbers

Only four out of 10 people who voted Conservative in 2019 will do so at the next general election, according to the latest dire poll for Rishi Sunak’s party.Sunak has indicated that the next election will take place towards the end of this year, though no date has been announced.Twenty-three per cent of those who backed the Conservatives last time say they do not know how they will vote at the next election, and another 4% say they will not bother voting at all.

Starmer retains a 10-point lead over Sunak when voters are asked who would make the best prime minister, with the Labour leader favoured by 30% and Sunak by 20%. Some 38% say “none of these”. Labour has also retained commanding leads in a number of policy areas in which it has not traditionally been strong. On the economy it is favoured by 34% of voters, compared with 23% for the Conservatives, and on crime by 30%, against 20% for the Tories.Even on defence, Labour leads by 26% to 25% over the Tories, and on terrorism the two biggest parties are equal, with both favoured by 24% of voters.

On the conflict in the Middle East, only 19% believe that the UK should continue exporting arms to Israel, against 52% who think export licences should be suspended.

 

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