Over the past decade-plus, the polling industry has had to make a transition from plucking names from the the electoral rolls and contacting voters on fixed landlines, via which they could be certain where they lived, to a relative stab in the dark. Now they reach voters via mobile phones and sometimes even online, with a consequent decline in the confidence they can have in the sample – particularly in electorates with diverse voters.
Not only is it a clear sign that we need to find new ways to do political research, it points towards some important shifts in public sentiment, which I have to say I underestimated. Labor's big, ambitious and optimistic policy agenda didn't shift hearts and minds sufficiently in all the right places. That could point to the fact that there may be no agenda – conservative or progressive – that can play well enough across the nation to achieve a result akin to 2007. National landslides may well be a thing of the past in a nation that looks as fractured as the national vote seems to indicate.
I get it. My mum's family comes from northern Queensland and, say what you want about them, they are fiercely independent. They will resist change that doesn't come from within their own community.
Easy - stop polling - it's no longer relevant. Today people use social media to express their views. They don't need to be polled. I put my home phone on answering machine, like so many of my friends...Start listening👂
Maybe because you have a short memory of what Morrison is capable of.
...National landslides may well be a thing of the past in a nation that looks as fractured as the national vote seems to indicate. MAY BE. Jesus, seriously. Nationwide movements died with friggin MTV. These people get paid? auspol
There's a strong case in political circles for mobile numbers to be included in the White Pages so that pollsters can undertake random sampling, as they used to do with landline numbers. Without random sampling, polling results are notoriously unreliable.
We have summarized this news so that you can read it quickly. If you are interested in the news, you can read the full text here. Read more:
Australia Latest News, Australia Headlines
Similar News:You can also read news stories similar to this one that we have collected from other news sources.
Time to stop polling and start listening: why we got election so wrongA leading social researcher admits, for the first time in my career, she got it wrong. So did many others, including in the Coalition. What do we learn from it? Trump Brexit QLd state election this election The list is long Seems the pollsters are getting more wrong than right. Maybe they need to change their methodology The people - 1. The deep state fake new media - 0. I think Australia just woke up to Reality, Labor insisting on winning with Dreams and Pseudoscience solutions to cut off economics
Source: smh - 🏆 6. / 80 Read more »
NRL 2019: Peter Beattie says Dragons forward Jack de Belin ruling not a time for celebrationDragons forward Jack de Belin's case against the NRL's no-fault stand down rule was decided in the Federal Court on Friday.
Source: smh - 🏆 6. / 80 Read more »
Bill channels Gough as he hopes that his time is comingAt the end of what’s been for him a testing campaign, Bill Shorten chose to go to Blacktown, to the hall where Gough Whitlam nearly half a century ago delivered his famous “It’s Time” election speech. Brilliant Bill. Gough will always be my true hero. May not have been a larrikin but he did more for the aussie battler than anyone before or since. Sadly there were those within his party who sought to undermine him but that's 'personality politics' for you.
Source: SBSNews - 🏆 3. / 89 Read more »
Susan Ryan reflects on her time as a Minister during the first Hawke administrationTributes are pouring in for former prime minister Bob Hawke who has died aged 89 at home with his wife by his side.
Source: abcnews - 🏆 5. / 83 Read more »
'There was no time in my life when there was no Bob Hawke’“Hawke is someone who the Australian people still love, and when we had that loss of trust in Australian political leaders nowadays, no one for me exemplified better than someone who could connect with the people than Bob Hawke.” 9News No. He was a traitor. Unlike the pathetic ones today
Source: 9NewsAUS - 🏆 10. / 72 Read more »
Shorten to mirror Gough Whitlam's historic 'It's Time' speech | Sky News AustraliaBill Shorten will deliver a major speech on Thursday, at the same venue Gough Whitlam delivered his historic ‘It’s Time’ speech. \n\nThe Opposition Leader is expected to focus on climate change when he takes the stage in Blacktown, in western Sydney, at 2pm on Thursday. \n\nMeanwhile, the Adani Carmichael coal mine continues to plague the Labor campaign. \n\nMr Shorten was grilled over his party’s position on the proposed coal mine on Wednesday night, accused of playing to his audience and supporting it in Queensland while rejecting it in Victoria. \n\nImage: News Corp Australia \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n billshortenmp Federal election 2019: Kerri-Anne Kennerley’s huge call — Bill Shorten will ‘end life as we know it’ billshortenmp No comparison to Gough billshortenmp Ask him about this from last night. New evidence
Source: SkyNewsAust - 🏆 7. / 78 Read more »
Shorten echoes Whitlam's 'It's Time' message, Morrison focuses on economy in final pitchesPrime Minister Scott Morrison and Opposition Leader Bill Shorten will make their final pitch to voters in the last major speeches of the federal election campaign. Australia vote in labor at your Fucken Peril😯
Source: SBSNews - 🏆 3. / 89 Read more »
PM mocks Labor's 'It's Time' theme in final speech | Sky News AustraliaFULL SPEECH: Scott Morrison has mocked Labor's 'It's Time' theme in his final pitch to voters before the federal election.\n\nSpeaking to the National Press Club, the Prime Minister played on Gough Whitlam’s famous ‘It’s Time’ speech, saying ‘it’s time’ for a stronger economy, to deliver tax relief, to keep Australians safe, and to keep borders secure. \n\nIt comes ahead of Bill Shorten's final speech in Sydney's West on Thursday afternoon, where he is expected to tell voters 'it's time' for change in government. \n\nMr Morrison hit out at Bill Shorten for refusing to make his final address to the Press Club ahead of the election, calling it ‘an important tradition and part of our electoral process’. \n\nImage: News Corp Australia\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n ScottMorrisonMP Times up buddy on your bike. By the way take Dutton, Abbott and the circus with you. The betting agencies have called the election. ScottMorrisonMP Morrison care to explain how you signed off on 2 Rwandan soldiers guilty of slaughtering lots of people to come to Australia part of the swap deal with the USA.... ScottMorrisonMP Morriscum is the master of mockery but a man without substance is soon laid bare
Source: SkyNewsAust - 🏆 7. / 78 Read more »
Prime Minister Scott Morrison takes 'It's Time' theme from Labor as he makes final pitchPrime Minister Scott Morrison's theme for his National Press Club address was 'now is not the time' for a Labor government. How original? It's time! I can wait until Saturday night then.
Source: SBSNews - 🏆 3. / 89 Read more »
Why I make time for mental health care every day, and we all shouldPhysical health has long been linked with mental health, but new research takes this even further. how about why isn't mentalhealth funds increased instead of this wishy washy article it is up to individual, when millions need help & denied it
Source: smh - 🏆 6. / 80 Read more »
Federal Election 2019 live updates: Coalition heading towards improbable victory'At this point in time, the Coalition is heading towards the magic number of 76,' says CUhlmann. 9News AusVotes CUhlmann How is the Australian running different numbers to you? CUhlmann Go Coalition!!! CUhlmann Not at this stage it's done...go libs it's done 👍👊👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏
Source: 9NewsAUS - 🏆 10. / 72 Read more »