Time to stop polling and start listening: why we got election so wrong

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A leading social researcher admits, for the first time in my career, she got it wrong. So did many others, including in the Coalition. What do we learn from it?

Even Burt the Psychic crocodile got it wrong. And so it’s been asked a million times since Saturday night – can we ever again trust opinion polls?

If from this point on we care less about published polling, journalists talk about them less and politicians refer to them less, well, that’s a good thing. The decline in public trust in institutions is well documented as well as our growing despair about politics and politicians. The high number of pre-poll votes, 4.7 million in this election, is driven by our desire for convenience but must also reflect the fact that people had made up their mind before the campaign even started and wanted to block the whole blasted business out.Many independents did well, capitalising on negative sentiment about the two parties.

This was the climate election, but not in the way people thought it would be. Climate change concern was a reason why we saw the Liberal Party loose seats like Warringah. But results for the LNP in Queensland and even One Nation in the Hunter show almost a swing in the opposite direction in parts of Australia where mining jobs are being threatened and where workers don’t feel like they can be nimble in their response to a changing economy.

 

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You managed by the same bankers that said Hillary will win.. CLOWNS

opinion piece told us why AustralianLabor would win. wrong and out of touch

The media are the mouth piece of a progressive left agenda pushed out of the UN which is clearly being rejected all around the world. Media will continue to get it wrong until they start listening to the people rather than self serving unelected UN officials.

Australia. Producing assholes since 11 March 1931.

Maybe they didn't get it wrong. Maybe a bottomless pool of funds to influence swinging voters in marginal seats is what it takes to get elected these days? Scare tactics also help manipulate people? Not the right way to hold onto power though. End political donations

Polls are manipulated by people with agendas. Time to get rid.

The polling wasn't, wrong! The question that needs asking is why 5% of those polled lied about how they were voting.

Little kids wearing lipstick?

just dont cry about your dead fish or your frying farms ever again. you get who u vote for. mother nature doesnt have that time any more.

The polls were right. People these days seem to vote for their preferred PM, which happened to be Morrison unfortunately.

People finally realised that Bill's promises were coming from an amped up union man willing to send us into massive debt to deliver them. At what price stupidity?! Faith in humanity restored.

The deplorable silent majority have spoken. Just want sensible practical government.

I think Australia just woke up to Reality, Labor insisting on winning with Dreams and Pseudoscience solutions to cut off economics

The people - 1. The deep state fake new media - 0.

Trump Brexit QLd state election this election The list is long Seems the pollsters are getting more wrong than right. Maybe they need to change their methodology

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