Six months from crushing defeat, Labor may be ready to get back in the ring

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Six months from crushing defeat, Labor may be ready to get back in the ring, writes mrseankelly auspol

That all sounds good for Labor, but does it matter? At this stage, not much. Albanese spoke of the advantage of campaigning in 2022 against nine years of Coalition government. He might be right, but it’s worth remembering the “It’s time” campaign only delivered Whitlam victory after 23 years of conservative rule. It took voters 12 years to get sick of John Howard.

That made me wonder how Shorten’s earlier numbers – just after he took the job – compared with Albanese now. Interestingly, the two men polled similarly across a range of attributes: hard-working, capable leader, understands the problems facing Australia, and others. That backs in Lewis, but is bad news for Albanese, because it suggests that what the Coalition did to Shorten it can do to him.But there was one significant difference.

This week has likely been hard for Shorten, but there was a big compliment hidden in those 92 pages: “Campaign policies should be released at a time that allows them to be discussed and understood but not so early as to divorce them from the likely circumstances pertaining at the time of the election.

So if timing is everything, and Albanese knows it, what’s his main weakness? Looking again at Essential’s character polling, the only attribute on which Scott Morrisonis “good in a crisis”. That’s important, because I’d say the defining question of the next three years is likely to be whether Morrison gets a chance to do exactly that. The drought and the fires together mean that climate change is roaring back as an issue. The global economy is changing quickly.

But then again, maybe not. Whether the times suit a politician is mostly up to the times. But not entirely. Six months after that brutal election loss, it feels like Albanese is beginning to settle into his role and that maybe, just maybe, Labor is ready to return to the fight.

 

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mrseankelly Never.

mrseankelly The way our LNP government are reacting to disasters will see them gone at the next election.

mrseankelly They've lost my vote. And I can't vote for the Monster Raving Looney Party (Greens) so it's back to informal again

mrseankelly When all else fails, blame BullshitBill.

mrseankelly More high cost 'watermelon' 🍉

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