Putin will carpet bomb Ukraine unless the West acts

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Giving the Ukrainians more tools to close their own skies will be the key to forcing the Russians to the negotiating table.

is back in the hands of Ukrainians, albeit under threat of Russian shelling and attacks on its electricity supply.

Russia will particularly struggle to fill the holes in its forward combat operations, thanks to low motivation and a failing draft. As 200,000 to 300,000 young men – under threat of conscription – have In contrast, Russian conscripts have been told to find their own sleeping bags and improvise bandages from tampons.But the challenge in the land war will be a classic military fact of the battlefield: advantage in ground war accrues to the defensive side. Military theory says you need a 3:1 advantage on offence to conquer a well dug-in defence.

Sadly, this carpet bombing proved very effective, and Putin seems inclined to try and copy it in Ukraine. The new general appointed to oversee the Ukraine war is the leader of Russia’s air force, a man known for his Syrian atrocities. More likely, he will receive increased numbers of high-end air-to-surface missiles systems such as the superb Iron Dome , NATO Patriot batteries and possibly tactical fighters.

 

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