'Of one thing we can be certain, the fires will return': Greg Mullins' global warning

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Australia’s unprecedented summer of hell was barely over when California was ablaze. As experts warn of worse to come, one of our most outspoken former fire commissioners reflects on a new age of overlapping catastrophes | GoodWeekendMag

Mullins looks remarkably relaxed, no doubt helped along by a loving family and the mental discipline of karate, which he’s been practising since he was a boy, leading to a silver medal in the World Firefighter Games in 2012. He met his wife, Erris, who’s also a black belt, at a karate class in 1983. “It was love at first sight,” Mullins laughs. “She kicked me in the stomach, winding me.” The couple have two children in their 30s.

Many Australians could sense how things were changing when subtropical rainforest, by its nature a fire retardant, started burning last spring, notably in the Hyland Nature Reserve near Dorrigo in NSW, and in the Gold Coast hinterland, where satellite images showed considerable damage within the World Heritage-listed Lamington National Park.

Mullins looked at how the firefighting services in California, arguably the best equipped in the world, with Elvis helicopters and fixed-wing aircraft like 737s and C130 Hercules carrying 1500 litres of water and fire retardant, were struggling to control the blazes. This year, the California wildfires have already burnt nearly 900,000 hectares – a grim record.

One of the worrying trends over the past couple of decades has been that fires can now burn as intensely at night as during the day, because of higher temperatures after dark. “This seriously impacts traditional fire tactics, which rely on milder conditions at night to conduct backburns and create ‘control lines’,” he explains.

Simple persistence forecasting suggests that the near future will look like the near past, intensified. Beyond that it depends on what people do, or don’t do.The fire scene will change for nearly all countries. Those that already have lots of landscape fires will likely have more, and these will burn more often and intensely. Think Australia, America, Canada, Russia.

Australia has an unrivalled cultural engagement with bushfire; fire paintings, fire poems, fire literature, world-class fire science, and fire politics. I can’t think of any other place with anything like the volume of official inquiries. That doesn’t mean Australians have learnt “to live with fire”.

 

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GoodWeekendMag Arrest the arsonists 🙄

GoodWeekendMag Fear Mungar

GoodWeekendMag Oh, it’s just Mullins again 😕 The way he was talked-up I was sure it was going to be Phil ‘Hollywood’ Koperberg. I’ll never forget when his new uniform, with the giant gold epaulettes, was rushed by cab from the tailors to the TV station in time for a press conference 😂

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