Melbourne is set to become the country’s most populous city by 2026 – with vast ramifications

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A decade ago, Sydney had 450,000 more people than Melbourne. Barring an economic catastrophe, it should pass Sydney before the end of the 2020s.

It was the most Melbourne event of the year, and it startled those who thought they understood the city’s cosmopolitan personality.

Melbourne skyline at dawn. The city is expected to overtake Sydney as the nation's most populous by 2026.ABC Radio’s Melbourne website traffic also trebled on the day. That said perhaps as much about Melbourne’s disappointment with the federal election result as it did about Faine’s popularity. Greater Melbourne grew by one million people between 2008 and 2018, pushing its total population past 5 million as the nation’s crossed 25 million. Sydney added just over 800,000 people over the same period to reach a population of 5.2 million, while Brisbane’s population increased by 450,000 to 2.5 million.

Melbourne’s population is arguably already larger than Sydney’s, depending on where the boundaries are set. The Australian Bureau of Statistics includes the Central Coast in its definition of Greater Sydney, but leaves Geelong out of its definition of Greater Melbourne. Remove the Central Coast and Melbourne had 75,000 more people than Sydney, according to the latest data for 2018.

Pollster and Liberal Party strategist Mark Textor says Melbourne would need to treble in size to 15 million in a national population of 35 million before it could move the political centre south, and leftward. If the city’s values were more aligned with those of the rest of the country, its effect would already be felt at the ballot box. But he thinks Melbourne will remain culturally walled off for the foreseeable future.

Pollster and Liberal Party strategist Mark Textor says one of the things that sets Melbourne apart is its strong support for multiculturalism.Textor notes that the Liberal Party has not been led by a Melburnian since Andrew Peacock in 1990. He recalls federal election campaigns later in the 1990s when he and Liberal Party colleagues would visit Victoria and feel as if they had entered another country.

“Interestingly, Ballarat and Bendigo had enormous influence on the move to federation and then on ALP politics. Their influence lasted long after their basic industry in gold mining had declined, and when, demographically, they had little importance.”The political equation is nonetheless fluid. “At the moment Victoria might look like a bit of an island because of attitudes towards climate policy, same-sex marriage, refugees, reconciliation and generalised ‘wokeness’,” McConville says.

 

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GMegalogenis slkpca Both Sydney and Melbourne are unsustainable from the resource point of view. Power, gas, fuels, water, CO2 emissions. Sustainable Cities would be energy frugal

Melbourne is more accepting of foreigners & has a more open mind then Sydney. Sydney is very conservative & closed minded.

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