Worst scenario of disorder and decay awaits SA unless it changes tack

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Worst scenario of disorder and decay awaits SA unless it changes tack, writes Andile Sangqu

Social cohesion is at the core of so many of SA’s development plans. From the National Development Plan 2030 to the newly announced Economic Recovery and Reconstruction Plan, achieving equality and inclusive growth is vital. Without it, even the best-laid plans will flounder.

But what exactly does this socially cohesive SA look like? Is it attainable by 2030? And if so, what steps should be taken to develop a social compact? These are the fundamental questions the Indlulamithi SA Scenarios 2030 project aims to answer. And we believe in answering them through the use of scenario planning, through which every South African is united behind a common vision of building an SA that champions social justice, prosperity and inclusivity.

Scenarios allow us to imagine the different outcomes of an activity. They encourage us to examine, in detail, the sequence of events that would lead to each outcome. In doing so we’re able to clearly understand the underlying fundamentals and drivers of change, and in turn exercise greater influence over them. Scenarios break down the notion that the future is inevitable, or that it will always resemble the past.

 

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