Since Donald Trump won the 2016 presidential election in the US, the S&P 500 has enjoyed a remarkable run of gains. The index is up around 54% in just over three years.
This is not an endorsement of Donald Trump or his presidency. It is, however, an important lesson for investors.entitled Political Climate, Optimism and Investment Decisions, researchers in the US found that people’s attitude towards markets is “dynamically influenced” by their political affiliation, and who is in power.
This sentiment then feeds into their investment decisions. The more optimistic someone is about the prospects of the local economy, the more likely they are to invest and trade in the stock market. “Shifts in political climate influence people’s perceptions of risk and reward,” the paper’s authors found. “Investors believe that financial markets are less risky and more undervalued when their own party is in power. This reduced assessment of the riskiness of the market and higher potential reward induces investors whose party is in power to take greater financial risks.”How this relates to the Trump presidency should be obvious.
Source: News Formal (newsformal.com)
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