What the biggest election year in history means for markets

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Investment update | What the biggest election year in history means for markets

South African markets closed in the red yesterday, as investors assessed hawkish comments from the US Federal Reserve officials.

At 05:30, the US dollar is trading 0.1% lower against the South African rand at R18.0594, while the euro is trading 0.1% lower at R19.6062. At 05:30, the British pound has declined 0.1% against the South African rand to trade at R22.9633.US markets ended higher yesterday, as investors assessed the latest comments from US Fed officials for further cues on interest rates.Meanwhile, the company posted a drop in its 1Q24 sales. Technology company, International Business Machines advanced 2.

On the other hand, pharmaceutical company, AstraZeneca advanced 2.2%, after the company announced ambitious plans to grow its revenue by 75.0% to $80.00bn by 2030.Asian markets are trading mostly higher this morning. The Nikkei 225 index is trading 0.6% lower at 38,719.35. The Hang Seng index has advanced 0.3% to trade at 19,269.30, while the Kospi index is trading 0.2% higher at 2,729.16.Yesterday, Brent prices fell 1.0% to settle at $82.88/bl, as possibilities of higher for longer interest rates weighed on fuel demand. Meanwhile, the American Petroleum Institute reported that the US crude oil inventories declined by 3.10mn bls in the week ended 17 May 2024.

What does this mean for investors? In short, keep a cool head and avoid letting the headlines influence your investment decisions. Markets are fundamentally forward-looking, in part driven by the analysis of key events and their potential impact. Growth of a dollar invested in the S&P 500, January 1926 to December 2023 Source: Ben Wacek, LinkedIn

History of SA bear and bull markets since 1965 Source: Bloomberg, Deutsche Bank and Ninety One as at 31 December 2023.South Africans tend to attribute rand weakness to what’s happening in South Africa, rather than exogenous factors. So, in an election year with pronounced political insecurity, local investors may interpret rand weakness as evidence that the country is heading for collapse because of an uncertain political environment.

Source: News Formal (newsformal.com)

 

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