The military will uphold China’s claim on Taiwan in a challenge to the US that will keep tension high and ramp up the risk of confrontationHonour guard members take part in a flag-raising ceremony at Chiang Kai-shek Memorial Hall in Taipei, Taiwan in this August , 2022 file photo.
For the first time, the People’s Liberation Army practised operations aimed at a blockade of the island, the likely first step towards an invasion. Even before the exercises, China has claimed sovereignty over the strait, which the US and Taiwan say is an international waterway. The White House has rejected any new status quo, and vowed that it will conduct air and maritime transits through the strait in coming weeks.
“Intentional conflict is still unlikely, but China’s decision to suspend military communications has surely made preventing an incidental clash more difficult.” “Chinese leaders may use the people’s nationalist sentiments to justify their policy decisions and pressure other countries, but it doesn’t work the other way round — the leader won’t be pressured by public sentiment into acting rashly,” a policy insider told Reuters on condition of anonymity.Reflecting Taiwan’s economic value, China imposed some curbs on Taiwan’s agricultural imports but spared its electronics, suggesting trade measures are largely symbolic.
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