Powell’s path to 2% inflation needs luck or, failing that, pain

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Federal Reserve Chair JeromePowell sees two possible paths for the economy and monetary policy over the next year. Moneyweb Inflation Gas

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sees two possible paths for the economy and monetary policy over the next year: With some luck, inflation will cool with the help of more supply. And if that fails, the Fed won’t hesitate to impose a more painful solution. In the best-case scenario, the Fed’s front-loaded interest-rate hikes slow demand for rate-sensitive sectors like housing, cars and other durable goods bought on credit.

3% — the highest reading since 2008 — and Powell and other Fed officials have pointed to that June 10 data release as one of the factors in their last-minute decision to raise by 75 basis points five days later. Final results from the Michigan survey, published Friday, showed a smaller increase, however, to 3.1%.

 

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