MANDY WIENER: Treachery or trust – expect a fortnight of political skullduggery

Realistically, the Electoral Commission of South Africa should announce the results of the national election on the Saturday or Sunday after the election.

If it achieves in the mid to high 40s, then it could reach that mark with the support of a handful of smaller parties, perhaps in exchange for a cabinet position. According to the daily Social Research Foundation polling tracker, the 66% turnout model puts the ANC at 43%, the DA at 23%, MK at 11,3%, EFF at 10,1% and IFP at 4,3% nationally. A caveat is required though as it’s always difficult to tell how accurate this polling will be when it comes to South Africans actually coming out to vote.

The ANC could go into coalition with the IFP in KZN in a scenario which sees the IFP getting control of the province in exchange for its support for the ANC at national level. Or perhaps the ANC might need the DA’s support too and give it control of Gauteng to retain control of the national government.

When I asked him whether he trusts the MPC partners, his response was ,“Well let me put it to you this way. How can you?”.

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