Moody’s could hold decision on SA downgrade — for now - The Mail & Guardian

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The ratings agency is expected to say on Friday whether it will downgrade SA’s credit rating to junk, but it could hold off until the Covid-19 pandemic eases.

South Africa enters into a 21-day lockdown period in the face of a global pandemic, an economy in recession and a possible downgrade by rating’s agency Moody’s.

So far, the country has avoided a downgrade by Moody’s despite high public debt, weak economic growth and lower than expected tax collection. In its Kabelo Tshola, a portfolio manager at FNB Wealth and Investments, said however that the ratings agency may well give the country “the benefit of the doubt and suspend the review until the second half of the year”.

“This will be difficult in a situation where spending is required to support the economy through this outbreak. It is also highly unlikely that the revenue authorities will achieve their targets for this year,” he says. Sifiso Skenjana, the chief economist at IQ Business, said Moody’s might use a “wait and see” approach to revising South Africa’s credit rating “until this [Covid-19] anomaly has passed”.

 

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