JOHN AUTHERS: Jerome Powell’s sale of an index fund not a reason to replace him

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Newspapers from both ends of the spectrum are presenting his trade as something sinister, but it isn’t

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell. Picture: KEVIN DIETSCH/REUTERS

I would argue, not very. It looks like the Fed chair, a rich man from his career in private equity, holds an impeccably dull investment portfolio, virtually all passive and spread across asset classes. He appears not to have done much trading in 2020, apart from small purchases and sales that look like either rebalancing, or the use of income to reinvest.

On the face of it, if the trade was made for investment reasons, it was badly timed. Selling just before the top in February, or buying at the bottom a month later, would have been lucrative. It would have also been very suspicious. Selling on October 1 meant that Powell missed out on a 35% gain in the year since . He had already made his hugely important speech at Jackson Hole in August, and followed through with the Fed’s regular meeting in September.

There is a real issue here. Senior figures at the Fed must be careful to avoid any sign of impropriety. But unless they are to be barred from trading altogether, it’s hard to see anything wrong with this. The trade lost money, and it conflicted with inside knowledge of the Fed’s intentions.

 

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