Outbreaks of African swine fever and avian influenza in animals and coronavirus in humans have disrupted the world’s food supply and its global trade. While the health crisis in Asia is having a devastating effect on its own market, the ripple effect is being felt across the world, including SA.
The expected production loss of more than 14-million tonnes greatly exceeds the entire global pork trade, which is less than 9-million tonnes. An additional drop may occur this year. The picture also affects several other producing nations in Asia. It will be years before the situation recovers. The balance is imported from the US, Brazil and the EU. Of these, the US and Brazil do not have active outbreaks of avian influenza. Indeed, Brazil is one of the largest producers in the world that is free from pathogenic avian influenza and Newcastle disease, which makes it a reliable and strategic provider to the global market.
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