A total of 3,127,342 registered voters are expected to make their mark in the 2019 provincial election in the Western Cape whereby the largest portion of voters – approximately 742,902 - are between the ages of 30 and 39 years.
This comes after the DA’s gradual growth in support in the Northern Cape over the various provincial election periods since 1994. The ANC’s 25-year rule over Gauteng will, according to MarkData research, be uncontested in this year’s provincial election whereby it has been suggested that the party’s nearest competitor, the DA, will fall by 11,78 percent in its share of the vote from its 30,78 percent election result in 2014.
Alternatively, it has been suggested the ANC will receive a 7,99 percent knock from the 70,09 percent share of the vote it received in the 2014 election. According to MarkData’s survey, the largest change in the share of the vote in the Free State will belong to the DA whereby the party’s support is expected to grow by 14,67 percent from its 16,23 percent result in the 2014 provincial election.
During the space between the 1994 and 1999 provincial elections, the Inkatha Freedom Party maintained control over KwaZulu-Natal by receiving a 50,32 percent and 41,90 percent share of the vote in each election respectively -- defeating the ANC by 18,09 percent and 2,52 percent respectively. On the other hand, the DA’s share of the vote in KwaZulu-Natal is expected to increase from 12,76 percent to 15 percent in the upcoming election – what may be the party’s highest showing in election history.
Despite the DA’s claims it will make gains in the North West in this year’s provincial election, the survey suggests the party’s share of the vote will fall from 12,73 percent to 8,8 percent.A 47 percent drop in 18- and 19-year-olds registered to vote is cause for concern.
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