Demographics and disappointment: Dawie Scholtz's complete election post mortem

I see that in some publications this is being fully ascribed to the"Cyril Ramaphosa effect", with the hypothesis being that some opposition voters voted ANC on the national ballot to give the ANC president a"larger mandate". This is certainly true to some extent. But there is a separate effect that creates the same impact, but that should not be confused for the"Cyril Ramaphosa effect".

These regional effects will be critical in thinking about our elections going forward. Anyone who does not do this properly will most likely get it wrong. National trends are no longer uniform in South Africa.We have detailed how low turnout was in this election. Roughly 9.3 million registered voters did not vote in this election. There's another 9 million South Africans that are of voting age who are not registered to vote.

But, in my view, this drop in the suburban electorate has been inevitable for some time; and although the quantum of the drop is beyond what was expected, we should not be too surprised by this. After all, the DA has been on a long journey to reposition itself to be electorally-viable for a majority of South Africans; which by definition will bring it into conflict with the perspective of more conservative elements of the white electorate.

DawieScholtz The biggest failures in the 2019 elections is the opposition. They cld have appealed more to the voters by giving alternative policies. Everytime they spoke, it was abt the ANC instead of what their parties will do.

DawieScholtz It is a known fact that MYANC support in the elections past and present has been declining. The opposition, especially the Our_DA failed to capitalise on the lost ANC support. MmusiMaimane and DA twere to obsessed with pointing ANC mistakes instead of alternative.

DawieScholtz The voters turnout was very low in these elections 64% compared 73% in 2014 elections. The turn out is used to allocate anything in the elections such as seats;are divided against the number of votes to determine how many seats are entitled to each party

DawieScholtz There is the possibility that EFF voters mistook the FF+ for the EFF on the ballot paper.

DawieScholtz U must be very disappointed that ur favourite DA party has failed dismal after u have done ur best to sabotage ANC

DawieScholtz The 2 increase have clear policies FF+ represent white privilege & EFFSouthAfrica represent blacks particular Africans

South Africa Latest News, South Africa Headlines

Similar News:You can also read news stories similar to this one that we have collected from other news sources.

LIVE: #SAElections2019 ANC tipped to win Free State but with significantly reduced majority Dawie ScholtzSouth Africans have had their say and the votes are being tallied up, with some provisional polling numbers already filtering through from what was deemed a peaceful day at the polls.
Source: News24 - 🏆 4. / 80 Read more »

Low voter turnout in townships could be a worry for ANC Dawie ScholtzNews24 elections analyst Dawie Scholtz says preliminary data shows that voter turnout seems to be lower in townships than it is in suburban areas. DawieScholtz azarrahk Gauteng I know u came through 🙏🏽🙏🏽 DawieScholtz azarrahk People are sick and tired of being screwed. And as in most of Africa, they may show that by not voting, instead of vori g for change DawieScholtz azarrahk Yes because the government implemented age restrictions when coming to SAPS posts that ideal has discouraged most of youth not to go in large numbers to the voting stations.
Source: News24 - 🏆 4. / 80 Read more »

Dawie Scholtz: Be part of the elections projections modelElections pollster, Dawie Scholtz, in collaboration with News24 will begin his election-projections model tomorrow - but he needs your help. Tweet him DawieScholtz
Source: News24 - 🏆 4. / 80 Read more »

LIVE: #SAElections2019 BREAKING: Four people arrested for alleged double voting IECSouth Africans have had their say and the votes are being tallied up, with some provisional polling numbers already filtering through from what was deemed a peaceful day at the polls. I'm happy to say that if you voted ANC after Ace stole the province blind then you deserve to have the nothing that you have and you can look forward to more nothing.
Source: News24 - 🏆 4. / 80 Read more »

Dawie Scholtz's 7 election campaign shockersSouth Africa heads to the polls today for its sixth democratic elections. News24 and pollster Dawie Scholtz take a trip down memory lane with most shocking and bizarre stories from this year’s election campaigns. DawieScholtz azarrahk It's a joke n insult to poor people without houses 🏡 n all other basic services but to your surprise people will fall to this ANC trap n lies
Source: News24 - 🏆 4. / 80 Read more »

YouTube
Source: SABC News Online - 🏆 32. / 51 Read more »

Rand, bond market appreciate after elections declared free & fairChief economist at Efficient Group Limited Dawie Roodt said the financial market has reacted positively because re-election of the ruling party would come with some level of stability. Hopes are on oil to bond also not to forgot Eskom What about fuel
Source: ewnupdates - 🏆 30. / 53 Read more »

Dawie Scholtz: Be part of the elections projections modelElections pollster, Dawie Scholtz, in collaboration with News24 will begin his election-projections model tomorrow - but he needs your help. Tweet him DawieScholtz
Source: News24 - 🏆 4. / 80 Read more »

Dawie Scholtz's 7 election campaign shockersSouth Africa heads to the polls today for its sixth democratic elections. News24 and pollster Dawie Scholtz take a trip down memory lane with most shocking and bizarre stories from this year’s election campaigns. DawieScholtz azarrahk It's a joke n insult to poor people without houses 🏡 n all other basic services but to your surprise people will fall to this ANC trap n lies
Source: News24 - 🏆 4. / 80 Read more »

Low voter turnout in townships could be a worry for ANC Dawie ScholtzNews24 elections analyst Dawie Scholtz says preliminary data shows that voter turnout seems to be lower in townships than it is in suburban areas. DawieScholtz azarrahk Gauteng I know u came through 🙏🏽🙏🏽 DawieScholtz azarrahk People are sick and tired of being screwed. And as in most of Africa, they may show that by not voting, instead of vori g for change DawieScholtz azarrahk Yes because the government implemented age restrictions when coming to SAPS posts that ideal has discouraged most of youth not to go in large numbers to the voting stations.
Source: News24 - 🏆 4. / 80 Read more »

LIVE: #SAElections2019 ANC tipped to win Free State but with significantly reduced majority Dawie ScholtzSouth Africans have had their say and the votes are being tallied up, with some provisional polling numbers already filtering through from what was deemed a peaceful day at the polls.
Source: News24 - 🏆 4. / 80 Read more »