I was supposed to be at an off-the-record briefing by the United Kingdom’s COP26 climate envoy, John Murton.
As a first step, countries submitted their plans for lowering carbon emissions and helping people adapt to climate change. These plans — Nationally Determined Contributions — are meant to be renewed every five years. Because it’s difficult to get every country to agree to something ambitious the Paris agreement accepted that plans would not be all that ambitious. Put together, they will result in the world warming by more than 3°C.
This year, countries are meant to update their plans. The idea is that peer pressure, a decrease in the cost of renewable technology and public pressure will mean the plans become more ambitious — in other words, a “ratchet mechanism” where every round of plans becomes more ambitious. The United Kingdom was chosen in part because it has a similarly formidable diplomatic ability, which gives it the resources to send envoys around the world to try to create more ambition ahead of the Glasgow meeting.
Not going to last, because Humanity is not Dying Out.
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