Coronavirus: Op-ed: Covid-19: We need both physical distancing and social solidarity

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Coronavirus: Op-ed: Covid-19: We need both physical distancing and social solidarity By Lydia Cairncross for Spotlight

Since the outbreak of coronavirus in December 2019, the world has been bombarded with messages about how to curb the spread of the virus. Governments have activated legislation enabling them to shut down public spaces and force people into self-isolation.

The Covid-19 virus is easily transmitted and is very contagious. We know that most of those infected will have a mild infection. However, up to 15% of people infected will be so sick that they require admission to hospital and 5% might require admission to ICU. The mortality rate is between 1% and 6%.

This means we need to find a way to slow down the transmission of the virus so that there is more time for our health services to respond to the sick. People will get sick and they will recover but there will be that 15% who will become very sick. Fifteen percent of 100 people is very different to 15% of 10,000 people and 15% of 500,000 people.

Of course, we are aware that millions of South Africans are living in cramped and crowded accommodation where isolating themselves from their families is virtually impossible. Isolation is different from physical distancing and is specifically if someone has tested positive for Covid-19.However, for the rest of the population, decreasing contact outside of our immediate households is critical because every single contact between people is a potential space where the virus can spread.

 

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