Climate 'mysteries' still puzzle scientists, despite progress

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[ANALYSIS] Climate 'mysteries' still puzzle scientists, despite progress

Heatwaves -- and particularly the tendency of current models to underestimate the intensity of these bursts of deadly, searing temperature.

It focuses on the science underpinning our understanding of things like temperature increases, rising ocean levels and extreme weather events. Now, so-called"attribution" science means we can say how probable an extreme weather event would have been had the climate not been changing at all. "What worries me the most are the heat waves" and the"thousands of deaths" they cause, said Vautard, who is director of France's Pierre-Simon Laplace Institute, a climate research and teaching centre.

"Before we had models that represented the major phenomena in the atmosphere, in the oceans," said Vautard.But even now he said the"resolution of the models is not sufficient" for very localised phenomena. These could be triggered for example by the melting of the ice caps or the decline of the Amazon rainforest, potentially swinging the climate system into dramatic and irreversible changes.

 

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