“The increase in the murder rate in Cape Town is presumably driven by gang violence, which has been exacerbated by the supply of thousands of illegal firearms to criminal gangs in the city…There is also evidence to suggest that similar illegal firearm transfers into Nelson Mandela Bay have significantly contributed to the city’s elevated murder rate in recent years,” researchers said.
The national average on murder is 36 per 100 000 people. This is lower than the murder average in 1994 which stood at 69. South Africa had its lowest murder rate in 2011 which stood at 30 per 100 000 but it then began to rise. During the study, researchers used data from the from national crime statistics released by the Saps and other institutions such as Statistics SA. The data was then aggregated to city level to give a more accurate representation of how crime is distributed in the cities.
The nine cities studied make about 40% of the country’s population and have a high contribution on the national statistics. These cities are responsible for 47% of murders, 76% of car hijackings, 73% of vehicle thefts, 64% aggravated robberies and 58% of residential robberies.
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