Andrews said modelling showed cases would continue to average around 60 a day by next weekend, and if the state opened up too quickly it would be on track for a third wave by mid-November.
Andrews has resisted pressure to lift restrictions, which the federal government has blamed for dragging Australia deeper into its first recession in nearly 30 years, while other states have largely reopened their economies. Starting from 11:59pm on September 13, some stage 4 restrictions will begin easing, with the nightly curfew starting at 9pm instead of 8pm, people will be allowed outdoors for up to two hours instead of one, and those living alone will be allowed to have a visitor.
At the same time, the curfew would be lifted, there would be no limits on leaving home, outdoor gatherings could increase to 10, homes would be able to have five visitors, and some adult non-contact sports could resume.
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