“The election is now underway so it may add to the uncertainty, but doesn’t change the fundamental outlook.“The market’s already a little bit on edge because of the upcoming election and the failure of talks to result in a new fiscal stimulus.
“You can imagine all sorts of scenarios here. If he tests positive and then just shows mild symptoms, it will be over in a few days. If he gets ill and has to go to hospital, the market will be a lot more concerned. Obviously, to the extent campaigning comes to a halt, it might increase fears that he might lose the election.
“Generally speaking, the market prefers the incumbent to win and the general preference has been for Trump to win because he will mean lower taxes and less regulation than a Biden presidency. "But the whole issue around fiscal stimulus is complicated because, if Trump loses and the Democrats win and they get control of the Senate and the House, it makes fiscal stimulus assured, which will offset the impact of the tax hikes. The market would probably be happy to see a Biden presidency with a clean sweep.""It has the potential to reduce Trump's campaigning ability. He's got a lot on and it's an interruption.
"But does it shift polls? I just don't know. We don't have precedents for this...to us it looks like a setback for the Trump campaign. They're a long way behind and they want Trump out there ."
Seriously ? Could you be any further behind ?
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