Cyril Ramaphosa, John Steenhuisen and Julius Malema are working hard on the campaign trail. This is a snapshot of where leaders of the three big parties have been, over seven days. It does not cover the full campaign through the weeks in the build-up to 1 November.
In August 2019, 10 out of 16 former ANC councillors retained their seats in by-elections as independent councillors. These independents formed the Maluti-a-Phofung 16 civic movement, named after the municipality they hail from and the number of councillors who ditched the ANC. MAP16 ran the ANC close in a by-election in 2021. The ANC was saved by opposition parties splitting the vote.
Steenhuisen knows he has to reconfigure that 2016 coalition of voters, which included a big suburban turnout in Centurion, Pretoria North and the eastern part of the city. He needs to ensure township voters, like those in Mamelodi West who backed the DA in 2016, stay with the party. He also campaigned with DA mayoral candidate Refiloe Nt’sekhe in Ekurhuleni. Nt’sekhe is a key leader in the party and Steenhuisen will hope that the ANC will fall below 50% in this metro again.
This year is likely to be much harder. Ramaphosa has strong links to Limpopo. Voters will wonder whether these two coalition governments have achieved their full potential and might not be as enthusiastic to go to the polls this time. Steenhuisen will hope that his time in the Bushveld will see the ANC get under 50% again.These are the third- and fifth-biggest municipalities in the province, where the DA won the most seats in 2016.
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